Situational awareness

… Before long, the world will wake up. But right now, there are perhaps a few hundred people, most of them in San Francisco and the AI labs, that have situational awareness. Through whatever peculiar forces of fate, I have found myself amongst them. A few years ago, these people were derided as crazy—but they trusted the trendlines, which allowed them to correctly predict the AI advances of the past few years. Whether these people are also right about the next few years remains to be seen. But these are very smart people—the smartest people I have ever met—and they are the ones building this technology. Perhaps they will be an odd footnote in history, or perhaps they will go down in history like Szilard and Oppenheimer and Teller. If they are seeing the future even close to correctly, we are in for a wild ride …

  • January 21, 2025, Announcing The Stargate Project - company which intends to invest $500 billion over the next four years building new AI infrastructure for OpenAI in the United States.

Other

  • The The Scaling Hypothesis suggests that increasing the scale of neural networks (more parameters, data, and compute) improves their performance and ability to solve complex tasks. This idea is supported by models like GPT-3, which demonstrate meta-learning (few-shot learning) and generalization without complex architectures. The hypothesis implies that intelligence can emerge from simple algorithms applied at massive scales.